Betting Lines
| Spread | PAC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | PAC -120 LMU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PAC +9 | 107 | Won |
| Massey | PAC -3.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.7 (-24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PAC -3.1 (+5.9) | 132.7 (-25.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PAC -2.2 (+6.8) | 130.4 (-23.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PAC -4.1 (+4.9) | 134.5 (-27.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PAC -3.0 (+6.0) | 134.0 (-27.0) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | PAC 65 – 59 LMU |
| Dec 31, 2025 | LMU 80 – 71 PAC |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PAC 83 – 58 LMU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LMU 73 – 68 PAC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | LMU 86 – 63 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PAC | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-9 | 13-9 |
| Conference | 6-7 | 7-5 |
| Home | 6-2 | 8-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 68.0 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#103) | 3.7 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#78) | 1.36 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#93) | 1.32 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#14) | 0.572 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PAC | LMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 10.8% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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