Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -600 ETSU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +12 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -12.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -13.0 (-1.0) | 144.1 (-0.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -9.7 (+2.3) | 143.7 (+0.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -12.0 (+0.0) | 145.4 (-1.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -12.3 (-0.3) | 145.1 (-1.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | FUR 76 – 61 ETSU |
| Feb 18, 2026 | ETSU 78 – 69 FUR |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ETSU 75 – 71 FUR |
| Feb 2, 2025 | ETSU 72 – 69 FUR |
| Jan 16, 2025 | FUR 73 – 70 ETSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-9 | 13-12 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 8-7 |
| Home | 11-1 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#40) | 1.2 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#57) | 0.31 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.39 (#62) | 1.12 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#38) | 0.538 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.8% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 23.8% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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