Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | JXST +260 BEL -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +7 | 189 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -3.2 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (+52.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -0.9 (-6.1) | 136.1 (+52.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -1.0 (-6.0) | 140.6 (+48.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -1.5 (-5.5) | 141.2 (+47.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -1.7 (-5.3) | 138.8 (+50.2) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2021 | BEL 72 – 69 JXST |
| Feb 19, 2021 | BEL 63 – 59 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 26-4 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 18-2 |
| Home | 8-3 | 11-1 |
| Away | 7-5 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 81.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#175) | 5.2 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#171) | 1.32 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#162) | 1.18 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#177) | 0.509 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.1% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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