Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | BEL -300 JXST +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -7.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -6.1 (-3.1) | 146.3 (-5.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -4.2 (-1.2) | 143.9 (-2.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -6.1 (-3.1) | 145.7 (-4.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -6.2 (-3.2) | 145.4 (-4.4) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2021 | BEL 63 – 59 JXST |
| Jan 16, 2021 | BEL 98 – 91 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-4 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 13-6 |
| Home | 11-1 | 8-3 |
| Away | 10-2 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.3 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#80) | -0.2 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#68) | 0.15 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#98) | -0.10 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#67) | 0.530 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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