Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | BEL -800 JXST +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +4 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -11.8 (-7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -11.9 (-7.9) | 149.6 (-27.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -9.9 (-5.9) | 146.6 (-24.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -12.6 (-8.6) | 149.4 (-27.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -11.7 (-7.7) | 151.0 (-29.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2021 | BEL 72 – 69 JXST |
| Jan 16, 2021 | BEL 98 – 91 JXST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-4 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 13-6 |
| Home | 11-1 | 8-3 |
| Away | 10-2 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.3 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#68) | -0.8 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#47) | 0.04 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#71) | -0.24 (#183) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#64) | 0.516 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.2% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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