Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | MISS -400 UGA +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -7.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -6.0 (-10.0) | 144.9 (+7.1) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -5.0 (-9.0) | 142.0 (+10.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -6.1 (-10.1) | 146.2 (+5.8) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -5.9 (-9.9) | 144.4 (+7.6) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | MISS 76 – 72 UGA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | MISS 97 – 95 UGA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MISS 63 – 51 UGA |
| Mar 6, 2024 | UGA 69 – 66 MISS |
| Feb 8, 2023 | MISS 78 – 74 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 14-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#55) | 4.7 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#121) | 0.52 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#98) | 0.93 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#141) | 0.511 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 41.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.4% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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