Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | SEMO +130 MORE -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +14 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -0.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -0.6 (-13.4) | 134.8 (-20.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -0.1 (-13.9) | 133.8 (-19.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -0.6 (-14.6) | 136.5 (-22.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -0.4 (-13.6) | 135.0 (-21.0) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MORE 66 – 61 SEMO |
| Feb 6, 2026 | SEMO 82 – 70 MORE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORE 71 – 69 SEMO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SEMO 80 – 51 MORE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MORE 67 – 56 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 23-8 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 17-3 |
| Home | 7-6 | 12-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#271) | -3.6 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#304) | 0.19 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.27 (#289) | 0.34 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.363 (#326) | 0.494 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 25.8% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 80.6% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.1% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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