Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
← All models

Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
74–33 on winners spread MAE 8.0 107 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Northern Kentucky +1.7 135.3 62% 49–59 ✓
Rhode Island @ Dayton +6.5 125.7 75% 51–53 ✓
Fairfield @ Rider -3.9 135.0 32% 76–65 ✓
Manhattan @ Saint Peter's +5.8 135.7 76% 51–77 ✓
Niagara @ Siena -0.1 131.2 52% 56–60 ✗
Ohio @ Buffalo +1.6 147.9 54% 74–53 ✗
Akron @ Toledo +10.6 138.1 84% 76–84 ✓
Marist @ Quinnipiac -0.3 141.8 47% 87–94 ✗
Cleveland State @ Wright State +1.2 149.2 51% 71–67 ✗
UNLV @ Colorado State +10.7 142.0 83% 88–74 ✗
San José State @ New Mexico +9.1 150.2 85% 70–86 ✓
Boise State @ Fresno State -0.2 122.8 44% 68–63 ✓
Duke @ Louisville -6.2 141.3 26% 74–65 ✓
LSU @ TCU -3.2 129.1 47% 68–77 ✗
La Salle @ Davidson +14.8 141.2 87% 69–77 ✓
Wichita State @ Tulane -0.4 139.4 49% 66–67 ✗
Georgetown @ Butler +4.0 136.6 73% 53–56 ✓
Miami @ Georgia Tech -1.9 142.1 42% 73–62 ✓
Michigan @ Michigan State +6.1 137.4 74% 67–83 ✓
Lafayette @ Army +5.6 141.0 75% 56–60 ✓
Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina +4.3 139.0 65% 73–66 ✗
East Tennessee State @ VMI +3.1 153.8 65% 79–83 ✓
Chattanooga @ The Citadel -8.9 143.9 18% 75–62 ✓
Oklahoma @ Auburn +9.3 138.1 83% 68–86 ✓
Xavier @ Creighton -0.7 138.2 51% 74–64 ✓
Missouri @ Iowa State +9.8 129.5 83% 50–67 ✓
American University @ Navy +14.3 127.0 88% 45–47 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UTSA -6.4 138.1 24% 73–64 ✓
High Point @ Campbell +5.6 128.4 70% 72–77 ✓
NC State @ North Carolina +9.4 154.7 84% 80–100 ✓
Dartmouth @ Columbia -6.7 139.6 24% 76–63 ✓
UMBC @ Binghamton -1.3 139.6 34% 70–68 ✓
Maine @ Vermont +22.0 138.9 91% 68–81 ✓
Milwaukee @ Youngstown State +5.2 140.3 67% 72–86 ✓
Illinois State @ Northern Iowa +5.8 155.0 77% 64–79 ✓
Saint Louis @ Duquesne -9.2 140.2 21% 77–53 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ St. Bonaventure +8.7 139.8 82% 69–80 ✓
Samford @ Western Carolina -1.5 150.8 50% 74–64 ✓
Drexel @ Towson +5.6 135.7 70% 62–66 ✓
West Virginia @ Arkansas +6.5 140.4 80% 68–77 ✓
Arizona State @ Arizona +18.8 149.7 90% 56–67 ✓
Indiana @ Maryland -1.0 141.9 52% 68–55 ✓
Temple @ SMU +9.3 141.4 78% 61–69 ✓
UT Martin @ Belmont +20.1 148.1 90% 58–87 ✓
Rice @ Southern Miss -6.8 143.0 21% 76–62 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Western Kentucky +2.6 142.7 59% 93–85 ✗
Utah Tech @ Chicago State -3.4 144.5 39% 79–65 ✓
Winthrop @ Longwood +4.4 142.1 69% 88–92 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Florida State +2.6 133.5 65% 85–72 ✗
UIC @ Oakland +11.0 147.5 86% 74–81 ✓
Georgia State @ UL Monroe -1.3 142.7 34% 73–62 ✓
St. Thomas @ Western Illinois +4.2 149.2 72% 52–81 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota State +10.7 156.2 85% 76–80 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Eastern Michigan -1.3 147.7 43% 75–85 ✗
Western Michigan @ Ball State +9.4 148.0 84% 72–83 ✓
Baylor @ Alabama -0.8 149.1 51% 78–87 ✗
Norfolk State @ South Carolina State -5.3 145.5 24% 87–69 ✓
Howard @ North Carolina Central -1.4 144.8 44% 75–74 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Davis +0.8 142.1 44% 70–63 ✗
Southern @ Alcorn State -0.5 139.8 43% 64–68 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Coppin State +1.7 144.3 54% 64–61 ✗
North Texas @ Louisiana Tech +2.0 130.4 47% 63–62 ✗
Portland State @ Northern Arizona +2.3 139.2 55% 97–76 ✗
Kansas State @ Ole Miss -1.0 129.9 49% 56–67 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Northwestern State -5.9 147.5 27% 76–90 ✗
Sam Houston @ Seattle U +3.6 138.0 63% 63–78 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Lamar -11.2 140.7 16% 85–82 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Presbyterian -0.2 133.1 44% 68–67 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ North Carolina A&T +3.7 142.7 70% 84–64 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Stetson -3.3 146.5 34% 95–113 ✗
Little Rock @ App State +9.8 136.4 86% 57–72 ✓
VCU @ Richmond +2.6 132.9 50% 64–62 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Denver -7.2 154.3 24% 89–80 ✓
Northeastern @ Charleston +5.1 142.2 73% 63–81 ✓
Elon @ William & Mary -3.3 140.2 45% 61–65 ✗
Delaware @ James Madison +0.4 143.6 50% 85–69 ✗
Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois +7.2 143.8 73% 69–63 ✗
Oklahoma State @ Florida +5.3 135.5 74% 72–81 ✓
St. John's @ Villanova +12.8 142.8 86% 62–73 ✓
Illinois @ Northwestern -4.0 144.0 26% 59–56 ✓
Tennessee State @ Eastern Illinois -6.9 129.0 21% 57–62 ✗
Radford @ Gardner-Webb +8.0 127.1 76% 42–61 ✓
Utah @ Washington +0.5 139.3 63% 73–77 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Mississippi Valley State +0.5 146.4 34% 74–68 ✗
Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana +9.7 149.0 84% 68–78 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Southeast Missouri State +2.0 152.0 56% 77–85 ✓
Morehead State @ Murray State +10.3 136.3 85% 66–77 ✓
Grambling @ Jackson State +4.0 131.6 57% 73–64 ✗
Florida A&M @ Alabama A&M -0.7 131.8 36% 65–60 ✓
Saint Francis @ Mount St. Mary's +6.4 133.9 72% 54–71 ✓
Lipscomb @ North Florida +0.7 146.7 53% 77–74 ✗
UT Arlington @ Texas State +5.8 135.2 73% 53–58 ✓
North Dakota @ South Dakota +10.1 147.7 86% 58–71 ✓
Kent State @ Bowling Green +0.5 143.2 49% 91–83 ✗
Hampton @ Charleston Southern -1.0 137.8 48% 78–74 ✓
North Alabama @ Kennesaw State +6.5 139.0 67% 71–58 ✗
Kentucky @ Kansas +4.1 151.1 72% 80–62 ✗
Mississippi State @ Texas Tech +9.3 137.6 81% 50–76 ✓
Texas Southern @ Prairie View A&M -5.5 142.4 24% 75–74 ✓
Idaho @ Montana State +12.5 150.6 88% 64–70 ✓
Virginia @ Notre Dame +4.7 128.1 68% 65–69 ✓
Yale @ Princeton +3.6 150.5 62% 80–74 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Jacksonville +12.3 137.4 87% 59–79 ✓
Furman @ Mercer -6.0 141.5 28% 80–50 ✓
Georgia @ Vanderbilt +9.9 141.0 85% 77–85 ✓
UConn @ DePaul -7.1 148.4 24% 57–50 ✓
Rutgers @ Nebraska -2.6 142.8 28% 63–61 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.