Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits
Templeton Center · January 29, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread PRES -1.5 Away covered
O/U 127.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total PRES win
Actual UNCA +1 135 Lost
Massey UNCA -0.0 (-1.0) — —
Massey Totals — 127.5 (+7.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 57% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 55% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNCA -0.2 (-0.8) 133.1 (+1.9) 44% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML PRES -0.8 (-1.8) 131.5 (+3.5) 52% ✗
Baseline ML PRES -0.6 (-1.6) 132.4 (+2.6) 56% ✗
Baseline Plus ML PRES -0.6 (-1.6) 131.8 (+3.2) 51% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 PRES 58 – 57 UNCA
Jan 15, 2026 PRES 71 – 70 UNCA
Feb 26, 2025 PRES 64 – 59 UNCA
Jan 11, 2025 UNCA 96 – 87 PRES
Feb 14, 2024 UNCA 71 – 69 PRES

Game Analysis

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