Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +13 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -13.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -10.1 (+2.9) | 147.7 (-18.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -11.8 (+1.2) | 149.8 (-20.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -12.6 (+0.4) | 149.5 (-20.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -11.9 (+1.1) | 151.5 (-22.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UND 72 – 71 SDAK |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UND 96 – 80 SDAK |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 79 UND |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SDAK 102 – 93 UND |
| Mar 2, 2024 | UND 95 – 66 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 2-16 |
| Home | 12-4 | 4-11 |
| Away | 6-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#252) | -14.8 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#199) | -2.83 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#214) | -4.04 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#208) | 0.368 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 78.3% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.