Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +18 | 208 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -3.4 (+21.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+67.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -3.3 (+21.3) | 146.5 (+61.5) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -2.4 (+20.4) | 141.1 (+66.9) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -2.1 (+20.1) | 141.1 (+66.9) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -2.5 (+20.5) | 144.8 (+63.2) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | STET 92 – 76 EKU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | EKU 100 – 88 STET |
| Feb 8, 2025 | EKU 83 – 58 STET |
| Jan 24, 2025 | STET 67 – 66 EKU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | STET 87 – 79 EKU |
Game Analysis
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