Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -25.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +13 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -29.0 (-16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -22.0 (-9.0) | 138.9 (+10.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -21.4 (-8.4) | 139.4 (+9.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -26.9 (-13.9) | 140.1 (+8.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -26.5 (-13.5) | 137.6 (+11.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | ME 76 – 70 UVM |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UVM 67 – 62 ME |
| Mar 11, 2025 | ME 57 – 42 UVM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UVM 65 – 61 ME |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UVM 55 – 49 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 6-23 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 3-15 |
| Home | 16-0 | 5-9 |
| Away | 10-4 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 60.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#72) | -17.7 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#68) | -3.73 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.91 (#69) | -4.46 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#61) | 0.335 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 20.7% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 80.8% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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