Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +16 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | JMU -0.8 (-16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -0.3 (-16.3) | 147.7 (+6.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -0.4 (-16.4) | 143.6 (+10.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -0.2 (-16.2) | 144.2 (+9.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -0.1 (-16.1) | 148.3 (+5.7) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2022 | DEL 81 – 60 JMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#206) | 0.9 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#163) | 0.95 (#105) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#191) | 1.03 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#173) | 0.548 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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