Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +21 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -6.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -5.3 (+15.7) | 144.5 (-3.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -3.5 (+17.5) | 143.0 (-2.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -4.7 (+16.3) | 144.2 (-3.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -4.9 (+16.1) | 145.2 (-4.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2022 | DEL 85 – 69 JMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#155) | -2.4 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#120) | -0.07 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#131) | -0.41 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#105) | 0.497 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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