Lights going out, and a kick in the balls. "That's Entertainment" - The Jam
Southwestern Athletic Conference · T.M. Elmore Gymnasium · January 29, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread AAMU -1.0 Away covered
O/U 124.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total AAMU win
Actual FAMU +5 125 Lost
Massey FAMU -0.3 (-4.7) — —
Massey Totals — 121.3 (+3.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 48% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 54% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FAMU -0.7 (-4.3) 131.8 (-6.8) 36% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML FAMU -1.8 (-3.2) 129.4 (-4.4) 40% ✓
Baseline ML FAMU -1.5 (-3.5) 129.8 (-4.8) 33% ✓
Baseline Plus ML FAMU -1.7 (-3.3) 131.2 (-6.2) 34% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 AAMU 63 – 61 FAMU
Jan 31, 2026 AAMU 72 – 65 FAMU
Feb 25, 2025 AAMU 77 – 66 FAMU
Feb 1, 2025 FAMU 95 – 79 AAMU
Feb 27, 2024 FAMU 76 – 58 AAMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings AAMU FAMU
Overall 12-18 13-17
Conference 10-8 11-7
Home 6-3 8-4
Away 4-14 5-12
Neutral 2-1 0-1
Last 5 1-4 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 61.4 63.6
Avg Pts Against 67.0 69.0
Massey -12.5 (#337) -8.8 (#310)
Bradley-Terry -2.15 (#328) -1.55 (#292)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.67 (#329) -2.23 (#312)
RPI 0.383 (#340) 0.425 (#303)
Shooting & Four Factors AAMU FAMU
FG% 36.7% 40.7%
3PT% 26.2% 26.9%
REB / G 35.4 33.4
OREB / G 11.2 9.8
AST / TO 0.66 0.87
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 39.9% 43.8%
TOV% 20.3% 18.7%
ORB% 28.5% 27.4%
FT Rate 18.5% 20.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 21.6% 19.2%
DRB% 66.1% 65.9%
Opp FT Rate 19.5% 24.3%

Game Analysis

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