Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
| Money | SCST +270 NORF -330 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +18 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -6.3 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -5.3 (-12.7) | 145.5 (+10.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -6.5 (-11.5) | 144.5 (+11.5) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -6.0 (-12.0) | 145.2 (+10.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -6.8 (-11.2) | 147.3 (+8.7) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SCST 88 – 82 NORF |
| Feb 21, 2026 | NORF 90 – 71 SCST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | NORF 89 – 82 SCST |
| Mar 15, 2025 | NORF 66 – 65 SCST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SCST 91 – 88 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 24-7 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 12-2 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-0 |
| Away | 5-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 66.6 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#327) | -1.2 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#285) | 0.60 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#315) | 0.66 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#323) | 0.501 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.2% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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