I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
Paul Porter Arena · January 29, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread GWEB -7.5 Home covered
O/U 130.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total GWEB win
Actual GWEB +19 103 Won
Massey GWEB -9.9 (+9.1) — —
Massey Totals — 127.4 (-24.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 84% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ GWEB -8.0 (+11.0) 127.1 (-24.1) 76% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML GWEB -8.2 (+10.8) 130.0 (-27.0) 77% ✓
Baseline ML GWEB -8.3 (+10.7) 129.4 (-26.4) 79% ✓
Baseline Plus ML GWEB -8.6 (+10.4) 130.0 (-27.0) 76% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 RAD 82 – 70 GWEB
Jan 15, 2026 RAD 89 – 80 GWEB
Feb 27, 2025 RAD 63 – 56 GWEB
Jan 16, 2025 RAD 79 – 75 GWEB
Feb 23, 2024 RAD 90 – 74 GWEB

Game Analysis

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