Betting Lines
| Spread | FAIR -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | RID +110 FAIR -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +11 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | FAIR -3.6 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAIR -3.9 (-7.1) | 135.0 (+6.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAIR -2.5 (-8.5) | 135.1 (+5.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAIR -2.9 (-8.1) | 135.7 (+5.3) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAIR -2.9 (-8.1) | 136.6 (+4.4) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | FAIR 68 – 62 RID |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FAIR 69 – 49 RID |
| Dec 5, 2024 | FAIR 78 – 75 RID |
| Feb 9, 2024 | FAIR 84 – 67 RID |
| Dec 3, 2023 | FAIR 88 – 81 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#300) | -0.8 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#298) | -0.58 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#293) | -0.77 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#310) | 0.480 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.9% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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