Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | RID -150 FAIR +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAIR +7 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -6.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (+24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -2.7 (-9.7) | 138.6 (+30.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -3.9 (-10.9) | 138.2 (+30.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -2.7 (-9.7) | 140.0 (+29.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -2.5 (-9.5) | 137.8 (+31.2) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | FAIR 68 – 62 RID |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FAIR 69 – 49 RID |
| Dec 5, 2024 | FAIR 78 – 75 RID |
| Feb 9, 2024 | FAIR 84 – 67 RID |
| Feb 11, 2023 | RID 58 – 57 FAIR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-12 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#314) | -8.9 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.12 (#347) | -3.52 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.42 (#346) | -5.13 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.366 (#337) | 0.365 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | FAIR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 23.0% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.1% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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