Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +29 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -21.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -20.1 (+8.9) | 148.1 (-3.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -17.0 (+12.0) | 148.3 (-3.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -18.9 (+10.1) | 150.1 (-5.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -18.6 (+10.4) | 150.9 (-5.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2022 | BEL 81 – 55 UTM |
| Jan 9, 2021 | BEL 89 – 69 UTM |
| Jan 2, 2021 | BEL 90 – 69 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-8 |
| Away | 10-5 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#44) | -8.2 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#51) | -1.85 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#56) | -2.25 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#47) | 0.418 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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