Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -19.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -2400 UTM +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +20 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -21.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -16.0 (+4.0) | 149.1 (+8.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -17.6 (+2.4) | 151.5 (+6.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -20.7 (-0.7) | 149.9 (+8.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -19.4 (+0.6) | 151.6 (+6.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2022 | BEL 87 – 58 UTM |
| Jan 8, 2022 | BEL 81 – 55 UTM |
| Jan 2, 2021 | BEL 90 – 69 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-4 | 8-16 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-1 | 6-7 |
| Away | 10-2 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.3 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#102) | -14.0 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#81) | -1.80 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#113) | -3.11 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#145) | 0.390 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 60.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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