Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +26 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -13.3 (-12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -12.7 (-13.3) | 148.7 (-12.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -12.4 (-13.6) | 151.0 (-15.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -11.2 (-14.8) | 151.0 (-15.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -12.9 (-13.1) | 151.6 (-15.6) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2022 | BEL 87 – 58 UTM |
| Jan 9, 2021 | BEL 89 – 69 UTM |
| Jan 2, 2021 | BEL 90 – 69 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 15-3 |
| Home | 5-8 | 13-1 |
| Away | 2-13 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L7 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#271) | 11.8 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#237) | 2.65 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#241) | 3.52 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#262) | 0.636 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.