Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
| Money | UTM +1000 BEL -1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +21 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -13.1 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -10.3 (-10.7) | 149.7 (+9.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -10.8 (-10.2) | 149.7 (+9.3) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -10.9 (-10.1) | 149.7 (+9.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -11.1 (-9.9) | 150.9 (+8.1) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2022 | BEL 87 – 58 UTM |
| Jan 8, 2022 | BEL 81 – 55 UTM |
| Jan 9, 2021 | BEL 89 – 69 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-16 | 26-4 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 18-2 |
| Home | 6-7 | 11-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 81.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#311) | 4.7 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#235) | 1.29 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#262) | 1.08 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#275) | 0.537 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.9% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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