Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +18 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -2.8 (-20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.9 (-16.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -4.1 (-22.1) | 151.1 (-9.1) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -5.9 (-23.9) | 160.2 (-18.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KU -6.0 (-24.0) | 156.2 (-14.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -5.5 (-23.5) | 155.8 (-13.8) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | KU 89 – 84 UK |
| Jan 29, 2023 | KU 77 – 68 UK |
| Dec 2, 2020 | KU 65 – 62 UK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Home | 19-1 | 18-0 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W11 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 66.6 |
| Massey | 18.6 (#9) | 19.2 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.89 (#4) | 2.77 (#21) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.23 (#1) | 3.64 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.688 (#1) | 0.613 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 41.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 39.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 77.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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