Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +5 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | KU -10.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -4.7 (+0.3) | 147.8 (+25.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -4.8 (+0.2) | 149.2 (+23.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -5.2 (-0.2) | 145.5 (+27.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -4.2 (+0.8) | 148.2 (+24.8) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2023 | KU 77 – 68 UK |
| Jan 29, 2022 | UK 80 – 62 KU |
| Dec 2, 2020 | KU 65 – 62 UK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 89.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 17.8 (#4) | 7.6 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#55) | 0.61 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#51) | 0.86 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.656 (#82) | 0.438 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 62.6% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 46.9% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 2.46 | 3.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 72.0% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 6.7% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.0% | 43.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 80.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.6% | 8.9% |
Game Analysis
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