Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UK -154 KU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +9 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -0.7 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -1.6 (-10.6) | 136.6 (+8.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -2.5 (-11.5) | 142.8 (+2.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UK -2.1 (-11.1) | 142.8 (+2.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -2.9 (-11.9) | 142.9 (+2.1) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | KU 89 – 84 UK |
| Jan 29, 2022 | UK 80 – 62 KU |
| Dec 2, 2020 | KU 65 – 62 UK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-4 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-4 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#37) | 15.1 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#37) | 3.24 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#38) | 3.82 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#50) | 0.657 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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