Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | UK +170 KU -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +3 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -3.8 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -1.0 (-2.0) | 141.4 (-14.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -1.0 (-2.0) | 145.1 (-18.1) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -1.5 (-1.5) | 147.8 (-20.8) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -0.1 (-3.1) | 146.3 (-19.3) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2023 | KU 89 – 84 UK |
| Jan 29, 2023 | KU 77 – 68 UK |
| Jan 29, 2022 | UK 80 – 62 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#123) | 4.4 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#193) | -0.07 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#178) | -0.02 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#65) | 0.469 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 23.1% | 44.7% |
| REB / G | 45.5 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 58.3% |
| TOV% | 24.6% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 45.1% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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