Betting Lines
| Spread | UMBC -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMBC +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | UMBC -0.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMBC -1.3 (-0.7) | 139.6 (-1.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMBC -1.1 (-0.9) | 138.9 (-0.9) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMBC -0.7 (-1.3) | 139.2 (-1.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMBC -1.3 (-0.7) | 139.8 (-1.8) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UMBC 79 – 62 BING |
| Jan 19, 2026 | UMBC 78 – 60 BING |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UMBC 81 – 77 BING |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BING 87 – 82 UMBC |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BING 72 – 71 UMBC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-17 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#291) | -3.3 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#296) | -1.02 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#298) | -1.16 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#291) | 0.454 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | UMBC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 13.8% |
Game Analysis
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