Betting Lines
| Spread | UNM -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | UNM -550 SJSU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNM +16 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | UNM -10.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNM -9.1 (+6.9) | 150.2 (+5.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNM -8.0 (+8.0) | 147.9 (+8.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNM -7.9 (+8.1) | 147.4 (+8.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNM -7.7 (+8.3) | 148.8 (+7.2) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | UNM 93 – 77 SJSU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | UNM 90 – 80 SJSU |
| Dec 21, 2025 | UNM 88 – 65 SJSU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UNM 63 – 52 SJSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SJSU 71 – 70 UNM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNM | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 1-17 |
| Home | 11-7 | 7-9 |
| Away | 2-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#152) | -6.7 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#189) | -0.46 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#178) | -0.83 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#158) | 0.479 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNM | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.