Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +14 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -8.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -5.2 (+8.8) | 140.3 (+17.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -5.1 (+8.9) | 141.7 (+16.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -5.1 (+8.9) | 141.5 (+16.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -5.4 (+8.6) | 139.7 (+18.3) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | MILW 78 – 65 YSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MILW 65 – 64 YSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MILW 84 – 74 YSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MILW 79 – 64 YSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YSU 84 – 80 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-9 | 8-14 |
| Home | 13-7 | 6-10 |
| Away | 6-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#243) | -8.6 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#275) | -2.22 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#271) | -2.54 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#284) | 0.385 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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