I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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43–20 on winners spread MAE 8.5 63 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
California @ USC +13.3 133.9 87% 72–79 ✓
UAB @ Marshall -8.9 150.8 19% 81–84 ✗
Charlotte @ Old Dominion +3.2 135.1 65% 52–68 ✓
San Diego @ Loyola Marymount +2.2 135.9 63% 69–65 ✗
Santa Clara @ San Francisco +7.5 151.8 79% 85–88 ✓
UAlbany @ NJIT -1.1 130.9 34% 64–53 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Liberty +6.0 134.7 68% 77–67 ✗
Bellarmine @ Florida Gulf Coast +0.9 142.6 53% 74–63 ✗
Green Bay @ Robert Morris +2.7 133.3 57% 60–62 ✓
South Alabama @ Troy -2.8 138.0 41% 68–77 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Wofford +5.9 128.1 74% 66–85 ✓
Hofstra @ UNC Wilmington -2.3 144.7 52% 72–78 ✗
Houston @ UCF -9.4 136.2 16% 63–49 ✓
Tennessee @ Texas +3.5 124.0 75% 51–52 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alabama State +2.1 134.6 54% 73–79 ✓
South Florida @ Tulsa +3.8 129.0 67% 45–76 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Riverside +2.1 130.4 58% 54–67 ✓
Nicholls @ Houston Christian -9.0 142.9 18% 73–61 ✓
Tarleton State @ UT Rio Grande Valley -2.4 142.9 37% 79–64 ✓
Pepperdine @ Saint Mary's +15.0 135.4 90% 57–81 ✓
Wake Forest @ Syracuse +0.7 154.6 59% 72–94 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Louisiana +5.5 134.0 69% 66–65 ✗
Evansville @ Missouri State +17.0 133.3 90% 58–72 ✓
Kansas City @ Omaha -7.3 146.1 27% 68–69 ✗
Austin Peay @ Tennessee Tech +2.9 139.6 54% 58–55 ✗
South Carolina @ Texas A&M +6.4 135.6 69% 74–63 ✗
Portland @ Gonzaga +25.1 159.9 91% 72–104 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Irvine +14.5 123.8 87% 48–72 ✓
Florida International @ UTEP +7.7 136.7 82% 68–79 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana +2.4 141.0 64% 59–61 ✓
Grand Canyon @ New Mexico State +1.5 133.8 68% 61–71 ✓
Stanford @ UCLA +12.6 137.6 87% 43–66 ✓
BYU @ Pacific -14.0 137.1 19% 73–76 ✗
Oregon State @ Oregon +12.2 147.9 86% 56–78 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC San Diego +0.5 130.9 51% 75–83 ✓
Weber State @ Sacramento State -7.8 142.0 19% 79–59 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ California Baptist -1.3 141.5 41% 81–77 ✓
Utah State @ Nevada -3.1 148.7 36% 78–49 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Hawai'i +3.3 135.0 64% 62–65 ✓
Cornell @ Brown +2.9 148.1 62% 74–72 ✗
Ohio State @ Purdue +8.8 148.8 82% 78–81 ✓
Cincinnati @ East Carolina -3.9 142.7 35% 60–59 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Wright State +5.5 143.4 71% 63–75 ✓
Cleveland State @ Northern Kentucky -0.8 135.2 51% 72–78 ✗
Fordham @ George Washington -1.6 138.7 48% 55–64 ✗
Marquette @ Providence +3.3 143.0 65% 63–65 ✓
Minnesota @ Wisconsin +9.2 135.6 83% 60–66 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson +0.7 136.2 48% 55–75 ✓
Long Island University @ Bryant +6.1 156.2 74% 81–88 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Iona +10.6 139.5 85% 77–85 ✓
Delaware State @ Morgan State +11.9 140.1 88% 70–82 ✓
Wagner @ St. Francis Brooklyn -10.9 141.3 17% 72–69 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Drake -0.6 135.3 53% 68–77 ✗
Indiana State @ Bradley +6.7 139.9 78% 52–67 ✓
George Mason @ Massachusetts -1.7 146.6 38% 72–62 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Siena +1.0 141.1 53% 76–85 ✓
Marist @ Manhattan -2.4 140.6 52% 66–72 ✗
Niagara @ Monmouth +7.0 132.8 75% 70–69 ✗
Canisius @ Rider -0.2 138.2 44% 62–70 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Boston College +2.9 128.6 66% 56–69 ✓
Valparaiso @ Southern Illinois +3.9 124.6 68% 55–77 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Bucknell -4.5 137.9 39% 80–82 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ McNeese +0.7 150.7 44% 84–78 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.