Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +10 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | NMSU -3.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -3.4 (+6.6) | 134.7 (-2.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -1.5 (+8.5) | 133.8 (-1.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -3.2 (+6.8) | 136.6 (-4.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -3.8 (+6.2) | 136.5 (-4.5) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2023 | GCU 78 – 67 NMSU |
| Mar 12, 2022 | NMSU 75 – 70 GCU |
| Feb 20, 2022 | NMSU 82 – 66 GCU |
| Mar 14, 2021 | GCU 74 – 56 NMSU |
| Jan 31, 2021 | GCU 65 – 53 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 23-8 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-2 | 15-2 |
| Away | 10-3 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 62.0 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#101) | 5.2 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#57) | 0.99 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#74) | 0.91 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#49) | 0.510 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 38.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 42.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.