Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | MONM -400 NIA +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +1 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | MONM -9.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -7.0 (-8.0) | 132.8 (+6.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -7.0 (-8.0) | 136.8 (+2.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -7.4 (-8.4) | 136.2 (+2.8) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -7.6 (-8.6) | 136.1 (+2.9) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2022 | MONM 61 – 58 NIA |
| Dec 4, 2021 | MONM 57 – 49 NIA |
| Jan 30, 2021 | NIA 83 – 74 MONM |
| Jan 29, 2021 | MONM 77 – 67 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 10-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#111) | -2.0 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#82) | -0.87 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#96) | -0.94 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#54) | 0.474 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 21.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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