Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +8 | 106 | Lost |
| Massey | NIA -5.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (-28.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -1.1 (-9.1) | 133.4 (-27.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -2.3 (-10.3) | 137.9 (-31.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -1.9 (-9.9) | 138.0 (-32.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -1.8 (-9.8) | 135.6 (-29.6) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2022 | MONM 61 – 58 NIA |
| Jan 30, 2022 | NIA 70 – 69 MONM |
| Jan 30, 2021 | NIA 83 – 74 MONM |
| Jan 29, 2021 | MONM 77 – 67 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#59) | 8.1 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.22 (#87) | 2.62 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#100) | 3.39 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#86) | 0.641 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 18.8% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 44.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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