Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | NIA +160 MONM -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +9 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -4.2 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -2.3 (+11.3) | 142.4 (+14.6) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -3.4 (+12.4) | 142.1 (+14.9) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -3.1 (+12.1) | 142.9 (+14.1) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -2.0 (+11.0) | 144.6 (+12.4) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2022 | MONM 61 – 58 NIA |
| Jan 30, 2022 | NIA 70 – 69 MONM |
| Dec 4, 2021 | MONM 57 – 49 NIA |
| Jan 29, 2021 | MONM 77 – 67 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-3 | 7-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#237) | 2.3 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#257) | 0.66 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#254) | 0.74 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#233) | 0.577 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 40.6% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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