Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | NIA +175 MONM -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +10 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | MONM -3.2 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -1.3 (-8.7) | 143.8 (+0.2) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -3.1 (-6.9) | 142.9 (+1.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -2.7 (-7.3) | 144.7 (-0.7) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -2.1 (-7.9) | 145.3 (-1.3) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2022 | MONM 61 – 58 NIA |
| Jan 30, 2022 | NIA 70 – 69 MONM |
| Dec 4, 2021 | MONM 57 – 49 NIA |
| Jan 30, 2021 | NIA 83 – 74 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-11 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-3 | 7-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#229) | 1.7 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#248) | 0.51 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#246) | 0.56 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#235) | 0.576 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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