Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +3 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -2.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -1.4 (+1.6) | 129.7 (-10.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -1.1 (+1.9) | 132.9 (-13.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -1.4 (+1.6) | 132.5 (-13.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -1.3 (+1.7) | 133.0 (-14.0) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2022 | NIA 70 – 69 MONM |
| Dec 4, 2021 | MONM 57 – 49 NIA |
| Jan 30, 2021 | NIA 83 – 74 MONM |
| Jan 29, 2021 | MONM 77 – 67 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 10-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#150) | -1.3 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#127) | -0.40 (#209) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#134) | -0.53 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#77) | 0.490 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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