Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +10 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -5.5 (-15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -6.0 (-16.0) | 134.7 (+9.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -7.4 (-17.4) | 138.3 (+5.7) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -6.2 (-16.2) | 139.1 (+4.9) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -5.8 (-15.8) | 134.7 (+9.3) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIB 81 – 78 JXST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LIB 78 – 69 JXST |
| Mar 16, 2025 | LIB 79 – 67 JXST |
| Feb 28, 2025 | LIB 59 – 55 JXST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JXST 72 – 61 LIB |
Game Analysis
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