You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Alico Arena · January 30, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread FGCU -2.0 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total FGCU win
Actual BELL +11 137 Lost
Massey FGCU -2.9 (-13.9) — —
Massey Totals — 146.4 (-9.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 52% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 50% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FGCU -0.9 (-11.9) 142.6 (-5.6) 53% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML FGCU -1.3 (-12.3) 145.1 (-8.1) 57% ✗
Baseline ML FGCU -1.7 (-12.7) 145.2 (-8.2) 55% ✗
Baseline Plus ML FGCU -1.5 (-12.5) 144.0 (-7.0) 53% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 BELL 81 – 65 FGCU
Feb 27, 2025 FGCU 80 – 61 BELL
Jan 23, 2025 FGCU 77 – 61 BELL
Feb 11, 2024 FGCU 63 – 52 BELL
Jan 14, 2023 BELL 61 – 41 FGCU

Game Analysis

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