Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +12 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -4.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -5.5 (+6.5) | 143.4 (-5.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -3.0 (+9.0) | 145.6 (-7.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -2.7 (+9.3) | 145.2 (-7.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -2.8 (+9.2) | 144.5 (-6.5) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WRST 74 – 70 PFW |
| Feb 8, 2026 | WRST 73 – 68 PFW |
| Feb 6, 2025 | PFW 87 – 64 WRST |
| Jan 16, 2025 | PFW 120 – 113 WRST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | PFW 79 – 77 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 15-7 | 15-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#244) | -4.8 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#251) | -0.97 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#247) | -1.40 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#254) | 0.459 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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