We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Southeastern Conference · Reed Arena · January 30, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TA&M -7.0 Away covered
O/U 135.0 Over
Money TA&M -280 / SC +240
Model Predictions
Spread Total TA&M win
Actual SC +11 137 Lost
Massey TA&M -7.5 (-18.5)
Massey Totals 132.9 (+4.1)
Bradley-Terry 81%
Weighted B-T 90%
Efficiency Plus ML TA&M -6.4 (-17.4) 135.6 (+1.4) 69%
Baseline Tuned ML TA&M -6.6 (-17.6) 134.6 (+2.4) 74%
Baseline ML TA&M -6.7 (-17.7) 134.8 (+2.2) 74%
Baseline Plus ML TA&M -6.1 (-17.1) 137.5 (-0.5) 72%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 TA&M 9269 SC
Feb 2, 2025 TA&M 7672 SC
Feb 29, 2024 SC 7068 TA&M
Jan 14, 2023 TA&M 9453 SC
Jan 7, 2021 SC 7854 TA&M

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TA&M SC
Overall 27-13 18-13
Conference 9-9 9-9
Home 16-4 12-4
Away 5-5 4-7
Neutral 6-4 2-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 71.9 69.7
Avg Pts Against 66.4 70.9
Massey 8.9 (#59) 4.7 (#106)
Bradley-Terry 2.13 (#42) 1.23 (#84)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.68 (#41) 1.07 (#109)
RPI 0.566 (#76) 0.562 (#79)
Shooting & Four Factors TA&M SC
FG% 45.3% 42.1%
3PT% 34.9% 31.4%
REB / G 35.4 38.7
OREB / G 11.4 13.1
AST / TO 1.04 0.79
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.4% 47.5%
TOV% 19.3% 21.9%
ORB% 32.7% 34.7%
FT Rate 21.3% 19.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.3% 46.1%
Opp TOV% 25.0% 22.2%
DRB% 68.1% 69.1%
Opp FT Rate 23.8% 30.3%

Game Analysis

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