Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | SC +195 TA&M -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +4 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -7.3 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (+16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -5.4 (+1.4) | 131.9 (+16.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -5.8 (+1.8) | 131.0 (+17.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -5.8 (+1.8) | 131.7 (+16.3) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -5.1 (+1.1) | 132.1 (+15.9) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | TA&M 92 – 69 SC |
| Feb 29, 2024 | SC 70 – 68 TA&M |
| Jan 14, 2023 | TA&M 94 – 53 SC |
| Jan 30, 2022 | SC 74 – 63 TA&M |
| Jan 7, 2021 | SC 78 – 54 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#87) | 17.3 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#89) | 3.51 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#83) | 4.28 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#119) | 0.651 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 16.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 43.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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