Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | SC -150 TA&M +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +24 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | SC -4.5 (+19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -4.7 (+19.3) | 134.6 (-2.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -3.3 (+20.7) | 136.2 (-4.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -3.2 (+20.8) | 137.3 (-5.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -5.8 (+18.2) | 136.5 (-4.5) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | TA&M 92 – 69 SC |
| Feb 2, 2025 | TA&M 76 – 72 SC |
| Feb 29, 2024 | SC 70 – 68 TA&M |
| Jan 14, 2023 | TA&M 94 – 53 SC |
| Jan 30, 2022 | SC 74 – 63 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-15 | 8-10 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 2-8 |
| Home | 3-6 | 6-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 2-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 66.9 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#107) | 3.0 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#82) | 1.51 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#87) | 1.91 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#89) | 0.533 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 24.6% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 34.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 25.9% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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