Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M -250 SC +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -3.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (+6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -3.8 (-5.8) | 135.1 (+2.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -2.2 (-4.2) | 135.8 (+2.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -2.3 (-4.3) | 136.6 (+1.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -1.8 (-3.8) | 136.1 (+1.9) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | TA&M 92 – 69 SC |
| Feb 2, 2025 | TA&M 76 – 72 SC |
| Jan 14, 2023 | TA&M 94 – 53 SC |
| Jan 30, 2022 | SC 74 – 63 TA&M |
| Jan 7, 2021 | SC 78 – 54 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#65) | 9.0 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#68) | 2.72 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#56) | 3.39 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#89) | 0.589 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 42.7 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 17.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 42.4% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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