Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +22 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -12.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -12.2 (+9.8) | 147.9 (-13.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -12.9 (+9.1) | 151.5 (-17.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -13.6 (+8.4) | 151.3 (-17.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -13.4 (+8.6) | 150.5 (-16.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | ORE 87 – 75 ORST |
| Nov 22, 2024 | ORE 78 – 75 ORST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ORE 78 – 71 ORST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ORE 60 – 58 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2023 | ORE 69 – 67 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 1-19 |
| Home | 12-5 | 3-13 |
| Away | 6-6 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#56) | -0.6 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#65) | -1.44 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#56) | -1.18 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#59) | 0.449 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.