We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
Brown Bears
72 – 74
FINAL Conference
Cornell Big Red
Ivy League · Pizzitola Sports Center · January 30, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread BRWN -5.0 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total BRWN win
Actual COR +2 146 Lost
Massey BRWN -4.8 (-6.8) — —
Massey Totals — 151.1 (-5.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 51% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 56% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BRWN -2.9 (-4.9) 148.1 (-2.1) 62% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BRWN -4.0 (-6.0) 149.6 (-3.6) 66% ✗
Baseline ML BRWN -3.7 (-5.7) 150.3 (-4.3) 62% ✗
Baseline Plus ML BRWN -3.9 (-5.9) 149.5 (-3.5) 66% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 COR 86 – 80 BRWN
Jan 19, 2026 COR 89 – 67 BRWN
Feb 22, 2025 COR 85 – 81 BRWN
Jan 20, 2025 BRWN 83 – 82 COR
Feb 24, 2024 BRWN 78 – 74 COR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BRWN COR
Overall 13-16 15-11
Conference 5-9 7-7
Home 6-7 10-2
Away 6-7 5-8
Neutral 1-2 0-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.3 76.2
Avg Pts Against 70.7 76.2
Massey 0.1 (#161) -1.5 (#200)
Bradley-Terry -0.48 (#214) -0.00 (#180)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.45 (#204) -0.09 (#187)
RPI 0.484 (#192) 0.494 (#179)
Shooting & Four Factors BRWN COR
FG% 43.1% 45.4%
3PT% 32.9% 35.3%
REB / G 34.3 36.7
OREB / G 9.9 9.9
AST / TO 0.85 1.13
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.4% 53.8%
TOV% 18.7% 20.2%
ORB% 28.2% 27.8%
FT Rate 20.7% 21.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.1% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 20.2% 17.7%
DRB% 72.8% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 23.7% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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