Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +1 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | CIN -5.4 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -4.6 (+3.6) | 143.4 (-24.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -3.9 (+2.9) | 142.7 (-23.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -3.8 (+2.8) | 141.6 (-22.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -4.5 (+3.5) | 142.2 (-23.2) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2023 | ECU 75 – 71 CIN |
| Jan 12, 2023 | CIN 83 – 55 ECU |
| Mar 10, 2022 | CIN 74 – 63 ECU |
| Jan 13, 2022 | CIN 79 – 71 ECU |
| Mar 7, 2021 | CIN 82 – 69 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 6-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 66.2 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#179) | 8.2 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#134) | 1.18 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#150) | 1.73 (#79) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#160) | 0.541 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 42.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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