Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | ECU +125 CIN -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +13 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | ECU -0.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -0.7 (-13.7) | 138.9 (+12.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -0.3 (-12.7) | 136.9 (+14.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -0.9 (-13.9) | 137.9 (+13.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -0.1 (-13.1) | 139.2 (+11.8) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2023 | ECU 75 – 71 CIN |
| Jan 12, 2023 | CIN 83 – 55 ECU |
| Mar 10, 2022 | CIN 74 – 63 ECU |
| Jan 30, 2022 | CIN 60 – 59 ECU |
| Jan 13, 2022 | CIN 79 – 71 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-11 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 2-10 | 8-6 |
| Home | 7-6 | 5-5 |
| Away | 1-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#151) | 2.2 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#158) | 0.81 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#148) | 0.83 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#219) | 0.532 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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