Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | CIN -650 ECU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +8 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -11.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -10.1 (-2.1) | 144.6 (+5.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -9.0 (-1.0) | 143.0 (+7.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -10.0 (-2.0) | 142.4 (+7.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -10.6 (-2.6) | 144.0 (+6.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2023 | ECU 75 – 71 CIN |
| Jan 12, 2023 | CIN 83 – 55 ECU |
| Mar 10, 2022 | CIN 74 – 63 ECU |
| Jan 30, 2022 | CIN 60 – 59 ECU |
| Mar 7, 2021 | CIN 82 – 69 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-11 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#62) | -0.0 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#112) | 0.71 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#96) | 0.63 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#151) | 0.518 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.2% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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