Cincinnati
Bearcats
74
–
63
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Air Force Reserve American Athletic Conference
East Carolina
Pirates
Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +11 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -6.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -4.3 (+6.7) | 137.0 (+0.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -4.6 (+6.4) | 136.3 (+0.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -4.4 (+6.6) | 135.5 (+1.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -4.4 (+6.6) | 135.2 (+1.8) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2023 | ECU 75 – 71 CIN |
| Jan 12, 2023 | CIN 83 – 55 ECU |
| Jan 30, 2022 | CIN 60 – 59 ECU |
| Jan 13, 2022 | CIN 79 – 71 ECU |
| Mar 7, 2021 | CIN 82 – 69 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-11 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#96) | -0.4 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#124) | 0.24 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#110) | 0.21 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#164) | 0.492 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.